Ways To Exploit Live In-Game Betting For Major League Baseball (MLB)

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Posted in: MLB

MLB In-Game Betting - Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Dodgers

In this article, we are going to look at the new betting craze, live in-game betting, for Major League Baseball. Baseball betting can be intimidating for a lot of people to bet. Unlike most other sports, there isn’t a point spread in baseball, only a money line, and that can confuse a lot of bettors that aren’t in the know.

But make no mistake, baseball offers a higher value of return for a sharp bettor than any other sport. That is because of the wealth of information that is available to even the most casual of bettor. Here I will show you some insider tips and tricks on how you can get your share of all the money being won on Major League Baseball in-game betting. Let’s get started!

1. Stats, Stats, And More Stats

Baseball has a million different statistics. There are old school ones that have been around for a hundred years like batting average, earned run average, and a pitcher’s wins and losses record. And there are new age stats that take an even deeper look at things. Stats like wins above replacement (WAR), fielding independent pitching (FIP), and on-base plus slugging percentage (OPS).

Baseball keeps track of everything, and if you pay attention close enough, you can find lots of spots where you can find lots of value. Are the bases loaded with one out in a tied game late? What is that hitters average against this pitcher? What is his typical launch angle, or exit velocity? What is his ground ball to fly ball tendency? How often does he swing and miss on balls out of the strike zone?

I know it is a lot to think about right now, but with all of this information available to you, you would be a sucker for not understanding how you can use it to your advantage. There is a treasure trove of information over at Baseball Reference, and you should go get comfortable with some of their information.

The pros that are winning day in and day out are doing their homework on the stats, and you need to too if you want to be a long-term winner. Baseball is a game of repetition, no matter what the situation is, there is a stat about it somewhere. Even vague stats like how often a team scores with a runner on first and one out. Or something like how often a team wins with a one-run lead in the first inning. Knowing the stats help you make a more informed decision, so get to work.

2. Big Favorite Falls Behind Early

This is my absolute favorite way to make money on in-game MLB betting. Let’s say you have the Boston Red Sox as big favorites before a game, let’s call it -200. And they fall behind 2-0 in the first inning. All the sudden not only are they no longer a big favorite, they might actually now be an underdog. Yes, coming from behind in baseball can be tough, as they don’t score nearly as much as some of the other major sports, but it does happen quite a bit.

And if that team was really that much better before the game started, they still are the better team now. And they shouldn’t be counted out. This is a great spot where you can back the better team and get a major discount. Anytime I see a mismatched game I am praying to see the underdog score early so I can back the favorite at a better price. This is a move the sharps use a lot to exploit the books.

3. Right Before Something Big Happens

This one is a little hard to define, but it could not have more value. Baseball has a lot of situations where you can almost see the future coming. Did the starters velocity drop a couple of notches in the last inning and is he looking tired on the mound? This is a great time to jump on the other side and expect them to score.

Or is a team about to hit the top of their lineup with one runner on and nobody out? This is a prime scoring situation, and you need to take advantage of it. Sports betting is all about predicting the future and in baseball there are many times that you get hints as to how things are about to play out.

Firing an in-game bet just before things happen is the best way to take advantage of in-game betting. Baseball lines can jump in a huge way with just a run or two, so getting your action in just before something major happens can lead to getting into very profitable situations.

And this doesn’t always have to be a situation where you think a team is about to score. It can be the flip side as well. Does a team have a nasty set up man and closer that just never give up runs? Use this knowledge to make your bets. MLB lines are set so much on the strength of the starting pitching matchup, that once the starters are out of the game, the game can be completely different, take advantage of this.

4. Hedging

Hedging your bets is a trick that almost all profitable sports bettors use at some point or another. When you hedge your bet, you are making a bet against yourself to lock in future profit. We see this a lot with parlay bets where you stand to get a major payout if one more game comes in. Hedging your bet would mean you take the other side of that final game and no matter what happens, you win!

That is the ultimate spot to be in as a sports bettor, a spot you can’t lose! In-game betting has opened the door to a whole new level of hedging as you can hedge at any point until the game is literally over. This gives a sharp bettor the opportunity to wait a situation out to the best possible time to get maximum value. Knowing how and when to hedge your bet in-game can be a very profitable tool that all serious bettors need to have in their toolbox.

Wrap Up

Betting on baseball can be a bit intimidating at first, but once you get the hang of things you will never look back! So, go out there and do your homework on your games and start exploiting in-game MLB betting like a pro! I hope you enjoyed the read and picked up a couple of tips that will help you win a bunch of money. Good luck and happy betting!

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